Wales' destiny is in their own hands as they head into the final round of Euro 2024 qualification matches over the coming days.
Rob Page's side take on Armenia on Saturday before welcoming Turkey at home on Tuesday, knowing that six points would guarantee them a spot in Germany next summer, largely thanks to a stunning 2-1 win over Croatia in the last international window.
Here's where things now stand in regards to Wales and their hopes of progressing out of Group D.
How the Group D table now looks
1. Turkey - P7 W5 D1 L1 GD7 PTS 16
2. Wales - P6 W3 D1 L2 GD0 PTS 10
3. Croatia - P6 W3 D1 L2 GD6 PTS 10
4. Armenia - P6 W2 D1 L3 GD-1 PTS 7
5. Latvia - P7 W1 D0 L6 GD-12 PTS 3
Fixtures left to play
Saturday, November 18. 2023
Armenia v Wales
Latvia v Croatia
Tuesday, November 21, 2023
Croatia v Armenia
Wales v Turkey
How Wales can qualify for Euro 2024
Wales are still firmly in the mix for qualification, sitting second in the group, but level on points with Croatia, as we head into the final week of the qualification campaign.
Win their two remaining games against Armenia and Turkey and they will book their place on the plane to Germany. Lose either game, and they will have to rely on Croatia dropping points. The home clash with Turkey will be pivotal for Wales, while Armenia could well have a big say in things, given they still have to play Croatia.
Wales are now level on points with Croatia, but because of the victory over them in October, Wales have a superior head-to-head record, which puts them ahead of Luka Modric and Co. It's probably just as well, as Wales still have a vastly inferior goal difference to the Croats.
Wales may yet have to rely on the play-offs should they slip up.
Despite losing their top-tier Nations League status following the defeat by Poland last September, they are more or less guaranteed a play-off spot due to the fact that a majority of the 15 teams ranked higher than them in the Nations League are all on course to qualify automatically.
The 12 best-ranked teams who fail to finish in the top two of their groups will compete in the play-offs, with three of the 24 places at next summer's tournament up for grabs.
The play-offs are pencilled in for March 21 and 26, 2024. Fixtures will be determined by a series of draws. In total, there will be six semi-finals on March 21 and three finals on March 26, with the three winning teams in those games completing the 24-team finals line-up.
